Superforecasters: what pandemic planners can learn from the world’s best predictors
Superforecasters: what pandemic planners can learn from the world’s best predictors: Experts got it catastrophically wrong, according to Dominic Cummings, UK prime minister Boris Johnson’s former chief adviser. Cummings has argued that the UK government’s official scientific advice in March 2020 hugely misunderstood how the pandemic would play out, leading to a delay in locking …