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forecasting

Extreme weather is outpacing even the worst-case scenarios of our forecasting models

Extreme weather is outpacing even the worst-case scenarios of our forecasting models: In the wake of the destructive Hurricane Otis, we find ourselves at a pivotal moment in the history of weather forecasting. The hurricane roared ashore with 165mph winds and torrential rainfall, slamming into the coastal city of Acapulco, Mexico and claiming the lives …

Read moreExtreme weather is outpacing even the worst-case scenarios of our forecasting models

A painful picture for the Tories: forecasting the general election from the local results

A painful picture for the Tories: forecasting the general election from the local results: Nils Bohr, the Nobel prize winning physicist, once said: “Prediction is very difficult, especially if it’s about the future.” Electoral forecasting, the science of predicting politics, is a case in point. It’s difficult to do and easy to get wrong. However, …

Read moreA painful picture for the Tories: forecasting the general election from the local results

Why forecasting snow is so difficult in the UK

Why forecasting snow is so difficult in the UK: It's hard to tell whether or not snow is on its way in the UK RTimages/Shutterstock Cold winter weather in the UK almost always brings with it talk of snow. British people tend to approach weather forecasts of snow with a combination of excitement and trepidation. …

Read moreWhy forecasting snow is so difficult in the UK

The science of weather forecasting: what it takes and why it’s so hard to get right

The science of weather forecasting: what it takes and why it’s so hard to get right: IgorZh/Shutterstock Weather forecasting is an important science. Accurate forecasting can help to save lives and minimise property damage. It’s also crucial for agriculture, allowing farmers to track when it’s best to plant or helping them protect their crops. And …

Read moreThe science of weather forecasting: what it takes and why it’s so hard to get right

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